Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.7 mph and a 94° low-level direction change combined with a 20.4 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 2 mph
- Gust model range
- 0 mph – 22 mph
- Surface wind
- 1 mph · W
- Highest gust input
- 22 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (984 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+4)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · S
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 94°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 94° low-level direction change combined with a 20.4 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.