Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32 mph, a 17.9 mph gust spread, and a 11.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 14 mph, gusts 29 mph, and climb band 26 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 4:00 PM.

Surface
14 mph
Gust
29 mph
Climb band
26 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 4:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowWindy
GustinessVery gusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn5°

Surface

14 mph

33 ft · SSW

Gust spread

15 mph

Gusts 29 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 93 J/kg / sun 241 W/m2

Climb drift

12 mph

394 ft / SSW

Choire a' ChaorachainDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32 mph, a 17.9 mph gust spread, and a 11.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
25 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 33 mph
Gust speed (spread)
29 mph (+15)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
26 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30.6 mph, a 17.5 mph gust spread, and a 11 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (31 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 31 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · S
Highest gust input
31 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
17 mph – 33 mph
Gust speed (spread)
28 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
24 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 29.5 mph, a 16.4 mph gust spread, and a 11.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (30 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
25 mph – 30 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · S
Highest gust input
30 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
20 mph – 33 mph
Gust speed (spread)
28 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
25 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 29.1 mph, a 16.5 mph gust spread, and a 12.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · S
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 34 mph
Gust speed (spread)
27 mph (+15)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
25 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 31.6 mph, a 18.1 mph gust spread, and a 13.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
21 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 37 mph
Gust speed (spread)
28 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
27 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 34 mph, a 19.4 mph gust spread, and a 14.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (34 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 34 mph
Surface wind
15 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
34 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
20 mph – 41 mph
Gust speed (spread)
30 mph (+16)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
29 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 34.9 mph, a 18.8 mph gust spread, and a 13.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (35 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
30 mph – 35 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · S
Highest gust input
35 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
23 mph – 43 mph
Gust speed (spread)
32 mph (+16)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
30 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 36 mph, a 20.2 mph gust spread, and a 14.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (36 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 19 mph
Gust model range
30 mph – 36 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · S
Highest gust input
36 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
22 mph – 44 mph
Gust speed (spread)
34 mph (+18)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
30 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 39.8 mph, a 23 mph gust spread, and a 15.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (40 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 22 mph
Gust model range
31 mph – 40 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · S
Highest gust input
40 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
23 mph – 43 mph
Gust speed (spread)
35 mph (+18)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
32 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 36.5 mph, a 20.3 mph gust spread, and a 14.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (36 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 19 mph
Gust model range
28 mph – 36 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · S
Highest gust input
36 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
23 mph – 42 mph
Gust speed (spread)
34 mph (+18)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
31 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 39.8 mph, a 23.3 mph gust spread, and a 14.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (40 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 22 mph
Gust model range
26 mph – 40 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · S
Highest gust input
40 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 41 mph
Gust speed (spread)
34 mph (+18)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
31 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.7 mph, a 18.2 mph gust spread, and a 13 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (33 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
22 mph – 33 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · S
Highest gust input
33 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (737 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
17 mph – 39 mph
Gust speed (spread)
31 mph (+16)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
27 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.