Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 50.1 mph, a 29.6 mph gust spread, and a 13.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 20 mph, gusts 42 mph, and climb band 34 mph for Friday, Oct 2, 3:00 PM.

Surface
20 mph
Gust
42 mph
Climb band
34 mph

Friday, Oct 2, 3:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowStrong
GustinessVery gusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn4°

Surface

20 mph

33 ft · SSW

Gust spread

21 mph

Gusts 42 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 28 J/kg / sun 256 W/m2

Climb drift

14 mph

394 ft / SSW

Carrock FellDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 50.1 mph, a 29.6 mph gust spread, and a 13.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (50 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
17 mph – 26 mph
Gust model range
34 mph – 50 mph
Surface wind
20 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
50 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
27 mph – 44 mph
Gust speed (spread)
42 mph (+21)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
34 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 50.1 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 49.9 mph, a 29.4 mph gust spread, and a 14 mph surface-to-flight speed change. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (50 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
18 mph – 25 mph
Gust model range
36 mph – 50 mph
Surface wind
21 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
50 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
28 mph – 41 mph
Gust speed (spread)
42 mph (+21)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
35 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 49.9 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 49.2 mph, a 28.3 mph gust spread, and a 14.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (49 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
17 mph – 25 mph
Gust model range
36 mph – 49 mph
Surface wind
21 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
49 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
30 mph – 41 mph
Gust speed (spread)
42 mph (+21)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
36 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 49.2 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 49.5 mph, a 28.5 mph gust spread, and a 15.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (49 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
18 mph – 25 mph
Gust model range
34 mph – 49 mph
Surface wind
21 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
49 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
30 mph – 43 mph
Gust speed (spread)
43 mph (+22)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
36 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 49.5 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 46.7 mph, a 26.3 mph gust spread, and a 15.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (47 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
16 mph – 24 mph
Gust model range
33 mph – 47 mph
Surface wind
20 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
47 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
28 mph – 43 mph
Gust speed (spread)
43 mph (+22)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
36 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 46.7 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 46.5 mph, a 27.5 mph gust spread, and a 14.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (47 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 23 mph
Gust model range
32 mph – 47 mph
Surface wind
19 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
47 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
23 mph – 39 mph
Gust speed (spread)
40 mph (+21)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
33 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 27.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 43.4 mph, a 26.3 mph gust spread, and a 13.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (43 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 21 mph
Gust model range
28 mph – 43 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
43 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 36 mph
Gust speed (spread)
36 mph (+19)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
31 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 26.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 40.5 mph, a 26.7 mph gust spread, and a 10.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (41 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 20 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 41 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · SW
Highest gust input
41 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 34 mph
Gust speed (spread)
31 mph (+17)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
25 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 26.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 35.1 mph, a 23.3 mph gust spread, and a 9.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (35 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 35 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
35 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 28 mph
Gust speed (spread)
29 mph (+18)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 23.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30.9 mph, a 19.8 mph gust spread, and a 9.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (31 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
21 mph – 31 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
31 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 28 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 19.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.8 mph, a 18.2 mph gust spread, and a 9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
21 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · W
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 27 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28 mph, a 18 mph gust spread, and a 9.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · W
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (506 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.