Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 57.3 mph, a 37.7 mph gust spread, and a 13 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 20 mph, gusts 41 mph, and climb band 33 mph for Friday, Oct 2, 3:00 PM.

Surface
20 mph
Gust
41 mph
Climb band
33 mph

Friday, Oct 2, 3:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowStrong
GustinessVery gusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn3°

Surface

20 mph

33 ft · SSW

Gust spread

21 mph

Gusts 41 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 54 J/kg / sun 134 W/m2

Climb drift

13 mph

394 ft / SSW

Buttermere MossDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 57.3 mph, a 37.7 mph gust spread, and a 13 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (57 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 26 mph
Gust model range
29 mph – 57 mph
Surface wind
20 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
57 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
28 mph – 41 mph
Gust speed (spread)
41 mph (+21)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
33 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 37.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 64.6 mph, a 43.3 mph gust spread, and a 13.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (65 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
16 mph – 28 mph
Gust model range
37 mph – 65 mph
Surface wind
21 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
65 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
28 mph – 47 mph
Gust speed (spread)
44 mph (+23)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
35 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 64.6 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 66.4 mph, a 45.1 mph gust spread, and a 14.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (66 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
16 mph – 29 mph
Gust model range
36 mph – 66 mph
Surface wind
21 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
66 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
29 mph – 47 mph
Gust speed (spread)
45 mph (+23)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
36 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 66.4 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 64.4 mph, a 42.5 mph gust spread, and a 14.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (64 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
16 mph – 30 mph
Gust model range
32 mph – 64 mph
Surface wind
22 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
64 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
28 mph – 44 mph
Gust speed (spread)
46 mph (+24)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
37 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 64.4 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 62.6 mph, a 41.3 mph gust spread, and a 14.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (63 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 29 mph
Gust model range
32 mph – 63 mph
Surface wind
21 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
63 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
26 mph – 43 mph
Gust speed (spread)
45 mph (+23)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
36 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 62.6 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 60.4 mph, a 40.4 mph gust spread, and a 13.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (60 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
12 mph – 26 mph
Gust model range
32 mph – 60 mph
Surface wind
20 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
60 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
21 mph – 41 mph
Gust speed (spread)
43 mph (+23)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
34 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 60.4 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 58.4 mph, a 40.3 mph gust spread, and a 12.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (58 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 23 mph
Gust model range
30 mph – 58 mph
Surface wind
18 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
58 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
17 mph – 42 mph
Gust speed (spread)
39 mph (+21)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
31 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 40.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 61.5 mph, a 46 mph gust spread, and a 9.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (62 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 26 mph
Gust model range
25 mph – 62 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · SW
Highest gust input
62 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 45 mph
Gust speed (spread)
35 mph (+20)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
25 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 46 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 62.4 mph, a 50.1 mph gust spread, and a 8.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (62 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 23 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 62 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
62 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 39 mph
Gust speed (spread)
31 mph (+19)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 50.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 54.6 mph and a 45.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (55 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 55 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · W
Highest gust input
55 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 45.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 34.7 mph and a 24.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (35 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 35 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · W
Highest gust input
35 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 24.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 31.6 mph and a 22.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · W
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (509 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 22.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.