Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.7 mph, a 12.3 mph gust spread, and a 9.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 15 mph, gusts 28 mph, and climb band 25 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 1:00 PM.

Surface
15 mph
Gust
28 mph
Climb band
25 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 1:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowWindy
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn2°

Surface

15 mph

33 ft · WSW

Gust spread

12 mph

Gusts 28 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 220 J/kg / sun 334 W/m2

Climb drift

10 mph

394 ft / WSW

Dodd Fell and Grove HeadDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.7 mph, a 12.3 mph gust spread, and a 9.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
28 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
15 mph · WSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
25 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
28 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
25 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 31.1 mph, a 14 mph gust spread, and a 10.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
17 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
31 mph – 31 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · WSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
27 mph – 27 mph
Gust speed (spread)
31 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
27 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.9 mph, a 11.2 mph gust spread, and a 8.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
25 mph – 25 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
23 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
23 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.1 mph, a 12.3 mph gust spread, and a 9.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
27 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
15 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
24 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
27 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
24 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.1 mph, a 10.1 mph gust spread, and a 9.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
22 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
21 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.5 mph, a 8.1 mph gust spread, and a 9.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.6 mph, a 8.3 mph gust spread, and a 12.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
21 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
18 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.5 mph, a 8.3 mph gust spread, and a 11.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
21 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17 mph, a 7.8 mph gust spread, and a 10 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.2 mph, a 10.7 mph gust spread, and a 11.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
24 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
24 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.2 mph, a 10.7 mph gust spread, and a 12.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
25 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
25 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21 mph, a 9.8 mph gust spread, and a 13 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
21 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (513 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
24 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
24 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

Planning

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.