Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.9 mph, a 17.1 mph gust spread, and a 8.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 8 mph, gusts 17 mph, and climb band 16 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 8:00 AM.

Surface
8 mph
Gust
17 mph
Climb band
16 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 8:00 AM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowLight
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn4°

Surface

8 mph

33 ft · SW

Gust spread

9 mph

Gusts 17 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 23 J/kg / sun 16 W/m2

Climb drift

8 mph

394 ft / SW

Pen yr Helgi Du (E)DEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
8:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.9 mph, a 17.1 mph gust spread, and a 8.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (25 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 25 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SW
Highest gust input
25 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 25 mph, a 16.6 mph gust spread, and a 8.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (25 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 25 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SW
Highest gust input
25 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.8 mph and a 17.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
27 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 17.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.4 mph and a 16.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (26 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 26 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
26 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 16.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26 mph and a 15.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (26 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 26 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
26 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.2 mph and a 17.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · SW
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 17.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 31.1 mph and a 19.3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (31 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 31 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · SW
Highest gust input
31 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
24 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 19.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30.9 mph, a 18.5 mph gust spread, and a 8.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (31 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
21 mph – 31 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · SW
Highest gust input
31 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
17 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 33.8 mph, a 22.2 mph gust spread, and a 9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (34 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
22 mph – 34 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · SW
Highest gust input
34 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 28 mph
Gust speed (spread)
26 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 22.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 33.6 mph, a 22.2 mph gust spread, and a 10.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (34 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
22 mph – 34 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
34 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 28 mph
Gust speed (spread)
28 mph (+17)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
22 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 22.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30.9 mph, a 20 mph gust spread, and a 9.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (31 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
24 mph – 31 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · SW
Highest gust input
31 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 27 mph
Gust speed (spread)
26 mph (+16)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 20 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 37.6 mph, a 25.6 mph gust spread, and a 12.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (38 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 19 mph
Gust model range
25 mph – 38 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · SW
Highest gust input
38 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (818 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
20 mph – 34 mph
Gust speed (spread)
29 mph (+17)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
24 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 25.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.