Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.3 mph, a 10.7 mph gust spread, and a 11.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 11 mph – 11 mph
- Gust model range
- 21 mph – 21 mph
- Surface wind
- 11 mph · SSW
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (785 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 22 mph – 22 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 21 mph (+11)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 22 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 4°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 11.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.
Key takeaways
- This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.