Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.7 mph, a 17 mph gust spread, and a 9.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 11 mph, gusts 22 mph, and climb band 20 mph for Friday, Oct 2, 12:00 AM.

Surface
11 mph
Gust
22 mph
Climb band
20 mph

Friday, Oct 2, 12:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

Use the best takeoff block for daylight planning instead of launching now.

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Watch-outs

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowBreezy
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn23°

Surface

11 mph

33 ft · S

Gust spread

12 mph

Gusts 22 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 22 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

9 mph

394 ft / SSW

Carrig MountainDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.7 mph, a 17 mph gust spread, and a 9.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · S
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 26 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.2 mph, a 13.3 mph gust spread, and a 8.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · S
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
11°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.4 mph, a 15 mph gust spread, and a 8.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (24 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 24 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · S
Highest gust input
24 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
11°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

3:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 25.7 mph, a 16.4 mph gust spread, and a 8.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (26 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 26 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · S
Highest gust input
26 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
12°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.9 mph and a 15.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (25 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 25 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · S
Highest gust input
25 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
12°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.4 mph, a 17 mph gust spread, and a 8.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (26 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 26 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · S
Highest gust input
26 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
14°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.8 mph, a 17.4 mph gust spread, and a 8.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · S
Highest gust input
27 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
13°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.7 mph, a 17.4 mph gust spread, and a 8.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · S
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30.2 mph, a 18.3 mph gust spread, and a 9.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (30 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 30 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · S
Highest gust input
30 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 29 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30.2 mph, a 16.9 mph gust spread, and a 10 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (30 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
20 mph – 30 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
30 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 28 mph
Gust speed (spread)
27 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
23 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.2 mph, a 16.3 mph gust spread, and a 10.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
28 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
21 mph – 31 mph
Gust speed (spread)
31 mph (+15)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
26 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 34.4 mph, a 18.1 mph gust spread, and a 10.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (34 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
28 mph – 34 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
34 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (443 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
24 mph – 32 mph
Gust speed (spread)
31 mph (+15)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
27 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

Planning

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.