Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 12.1 mph, a 4.5 mph gust spread, and a 7.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 8 mph, gusts 10 mph, and climb band 15 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 4:00 AM.

Surface
8 mph
Gust
10 mph
Climb band
15 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 4:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

Use the best takeoff block for daylight planning instead of launching now.

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Watch-outs

  • This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowLight
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn8°

Surface

8 mph

33 ft · SW

Gust spread

2 mph

Gusts 10 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 0 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

8 mph

394 ft / WSW

MundesleyDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
4:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 12.1 mph, a 4.5 mph gust spread, and a 7.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 12 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SW
Highest gust input
12 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
14°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 12.1 mph, a 4.5 mph gust spread, and a 7.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 5.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
9 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
14°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 5.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
6:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of gusts at 9.4 mph, a 2.8 mph gust spread, and a 3.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change adds a small drift variation through the flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
9 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
14°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by gusts at 9.4 mph, a 2.8 mph gust spread, and a 3.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change adds a small drift variation through the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

7:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 10.5 mph, a 3.4 mph gust spread, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SW
Highest gust input
11 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 10.5 mph, a 3.4 mph gust spread, and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 5.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SW
Highest gust input
13 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
12°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.9 mph and a 7.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · SW
Highest gust input
18 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17 mph and a 6.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.5 mph and a 5.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.4 mph and a 5.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.6 mph and a 7.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · WNW
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
17°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 12.7 mph, a 4.4 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · WNW
Highest gust input
13 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
26°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 12.7 mph, a 4.4 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 11.6 mph, a 4.5 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 12 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · NW
Highest gust input
12 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (36 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
29°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 11.6 mph, a 4.5 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.