Demanding this hour because of a 7.3 mph gust spread and a 11.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 4 mph – 7 mph
- Gust model range
- 5 mph – 13 mph
- Surface wind
- 6 mph · SW
- Highest gust input
- 13 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (368 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 8 mph – 22 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 11 mph (+5)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 18 mph · WSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 7°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 11.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change.
Key takeaways
- This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.