Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.1 mph, a 7.8 mph gust spread, and a 9.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

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Surface 10 mph, gusts 18 mph, and climb band 20 mph for Wednesday, Sep 30, 10:00 PM.

Surface
10 mph
Gust
18 mph
Climb band
20 mph

Wednesday, Sep 30, 10:00 PM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

Use the best takeoff block for daylight planning instead of launching now.

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Watch-outs

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowBreezy
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn32°

Surface

10 mph

33 ft · SSE

Gust spread

8 mph

Gusts 18 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 40 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

10 mph

394 ft / SSE

BorthDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.1 mph, a 7.8 mph gust spread, and a 9.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
20 mph – 20 mph
Gust speed (spread)
18 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.4 mph, a 6.7 mph gust spread, and a 10.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
22°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.7 mph, a 6.7 mph gust spread, and a 10.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
20 mph – 20 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
12°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

1:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 5.4 mph gust spread and a 8.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
20°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 11.4 mph, a 5 mph gust spread, a 7.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 32° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
32°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 32° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 4.5 mph gust spread and a 44° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
44°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 44° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
4:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
32°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 11.4 mph, a 4.7 mph gust spread, a 7.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
28°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 11.4 mph, a 4.7 mph gust spread, a 7.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 3.9 mph gust spread and a 7.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
12°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 3.9 mph gust spread and a 7.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
7:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 3.9 mph gust spread, a 7.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
26°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 3.9 mph gust spread, a 7.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 12.6 mph, a 5 mph gust spread, a 5.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
28°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 12.6 mph, a 5 mph gust spread, a 5.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 5.6 mph gust spread and a 8.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (85 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
17 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
28°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.