Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.4 mph, a 17.1 mph gust spread, and a 8.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 12 mph – 17 mph
- Gust model range
- 23 mph – 32 mph
- Surface wind
- 15 mph · SSW
- Highest gust input
- 32 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (424 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 17 mph – 29 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 29 mph (+14)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 24 mph · SW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 4°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 8.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.
Key takeaways
- This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.