Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.1 mph, a 12.6 mph gust spread, and a 8.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 7 mph – 18 mph
- Gust model range
- 15 mph – 22 mph
- Surface wind
- 10 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 22 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (279 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 11 mph – 23 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 18 mph (+8)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 18 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 6°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 8.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change.
Key takeaways
- This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.