Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 98° low-level direction change combined with a 3.1 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 5 mph, gusts 8 mph, and climb band 4 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 5:00 AM.

Surface
5 mph
Gust
8 mph
Climb band
4 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 5:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn109°

Surface

5 mph

33 ft · NE

Gust spread

3 mph

Gusts 8 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 460 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

0 mph

394 ft / NW

AberavonDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
5:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 98° low-level direction change combined with a 3.1 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
98°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 98° low-level direction change combined with a 3.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 54° surface-to-flight direction change and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NNE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
54°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 54° surface-to-flight direction change and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
7:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 94° surface-to-flight direction change and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
94°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 94° surface-to-flight direction change and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

8:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NNE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
24°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
9:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 150° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
150°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 150° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
10:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 74° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Surface wind
1 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
2 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
74°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 74° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.4 mph and a 8.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
20 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · W
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17 mph and a 7.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.1 mph and a 9.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
22 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17 mph and a 7.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · WSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.3 mph and a 7.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
18 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
12°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.7 mph and a 10.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
24 mph – 24 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
20 mph – 20 mph
Gust speed (spread)
24 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.