Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.2 mph, a 10.7 mph gust spread, and a 8.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

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Surface 7 mph, gusts 13 mph, and climb band 15 mph for Friday, Oct 2, 12:00 AM.

Surface
7 mph
Gust
13 mph
Climb band
15 mph

Friday, Oct 2, 12:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowLight
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn17°

Surface

7 mph

33 ft · SSW

Gust spread

6 mph

Gusts 13 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 5 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

8 mph

394 ft / SW

Combe GibbetDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.2 mph, a 10.7 mph gust spread, and a 8.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
18°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.6 mph, a 10.8 mph gust spread, and a 8.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
18 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
18°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.8 mph, a 10.3 mph gust spread, and a 8.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
18°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

3:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.4 mph, a 8.4 mph gust spread, and a 8.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
16°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.1 mph, a 8.8 mph gust spread, and a 9.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
16°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 7.3 mph gust spread and a 8.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
14°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.7 mph, a 8.3 mph gust spread, and a 9.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.9 mph, a 7.9 mph gust spread, and a 9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.9 mph, a 9.8 mph gust spread, and a 8.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
18 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
13°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19 mph and a 10.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.5 mph and a 10.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
21 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.6 mph and a 12.3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (25 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 25 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
25 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (251 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.