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MPHMiles per hour
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 5.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

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Surface 9 mph, gusts 13 mph, and climb band 12 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 10:00 AM.

Surface
9 mph
Gust
13 mph
Climb band
12 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 10:00 AM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Medium

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowLight
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn6°

Surface

9 mph

33 ft · WSW

Gust spread

5 mph

Gusts 13 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 20 J/kg / sun 303 W/m2

Climb drift

3 mph

394 ft / W

Mere Spencer's BowlDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 5.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
14 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.1 mph and a 6.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.8 mph and a 6.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.2 mph and a 6.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17 mph and a 6.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.8 mph and a 5.3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
11°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.3 mph. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 20 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
12°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 16.3 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.5 mph and a 5.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · SW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 20 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.4 mph and a 8.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · SW
Highest gust input
20 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 20 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 2 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.5 mph, a 13.3 mph gust spread, and a 8.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · SW
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 20 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.4 mph, a 12.7 mph gust spread, and a 8.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · SW
Highest gust input
22 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.7 mph, a 12.1 mph gust spread, and a 8.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SW
Highest gust input
20 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (210 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 2 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.