Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.1 mph and a 12 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 11 mph, gusts 19 mph, and climb band 14 mph for Friday, Oct 2, 4:00 PM.

Surface
11 mph
Gust
19 mph
Climb band
14 mph

Friday, Oct 2, 4:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowBreezy
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn1°

Surface

11 mph

33 ft · SW

Gust spread

8 mph

Gusts 19 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 13 J/kg / sun 386 W/m2

Climb drift

3 mph

394 ft / SW

St.Aldhelm's HeadDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.1 mph and a 12 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · SW
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.9 mph and a 12 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · SW
Highest gust input
22 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.6 mph and a 12.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SW
Highest gust input
21 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.8 mph and a 11.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SW
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.5 mph and a 10.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 7.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SW
Highest gust input
14 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 6.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
13 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
14 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 7.3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SW
Highest gust input
14 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 6.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SW
Highest gust input
13 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 6.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SW
Highest gust input
13 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 7.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SW
Highest gust input
13 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (56 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.