Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.5 mph and a 12.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 15 mph, gusts 25 mph, and climb band 21 mph for Friday, Oct 2, 12:00 PM.

Surface
15 mph
Gust
25 mph
Climb band
21 mph

Friday, Oct 2, 12:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowWindy
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn2°

Surface

15 mph

33 ft · SSW

Gust spread

10 mph

Gusts 25 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 37 J/kg / sun 460 W/m2

Climb drift

5 mph

394 ft / SSW

Chapel PorthDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.5 mph and a 12.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
14 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
15 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.6 mph and a 13.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
26 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 29.8 mph and a 13.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (30 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
15 mph – 18 mph
Gust model range
20 mph – 30 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
30 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
26 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30.4 mph and a 14.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (30 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
14 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 30 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
30 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 26 mph
Gust speed (spread)
27 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 30 mph and a 14.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (30 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
14 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 30 mph
Surface wind
15 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
30 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
26 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.7 mph and a 13.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
20 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
14 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
25 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.7 mph and a 15 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
12 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
20 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.1 mph and a 15.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
27 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.9 mph and a 14.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (25 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 25 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
25 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
18 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.7 mph and a 11.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
22 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.8 mph and a 11.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
21 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.7 mph and a 10.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
20 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (81 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
11°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.