Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.6 mph, a 12.9 mph gust spread, and a 9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 4 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 11 mph – 18 mph
- Surface wind
- 5 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 18 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (812 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 8 mph – 20 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 14 mph (+9)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 14 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 25°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.
Key takeaways
- This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.