Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 86° low-level direction change combined with a 6.3 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 4 mph, gusts 11 mph, and climb band 3 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 3:00 PM.

Surface
4 mph
Gust
11 mph
Climb band
3 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 3:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn82°

Surface

4 mph

33 ft · W

Gust spread

6 mph

Gusts 11 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 240 J/kg / sun 540 W/m2

Climb drift

0 mph

394 ft / N

Fort du mont - le grebauDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 86° low-level direction change combined with a 6.3 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · W
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
86°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 86° low-level direction change combined with a 6.3 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 94° low-level direction change combined with a 4.2 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · W
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
94°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 94° low-level direction change combined with a 4.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 89° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · WSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
89°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 89° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

6:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.9 mph gust spread and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
1 mph · WSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
11°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 3.9 mph gust spread and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
7:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 62° low-level direction change combined with a 3.2 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
1 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
62°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 62° low-level direction change combined with a 3.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 150° surface-to-flight direction change and a precipitation indicator. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
150°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 150° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 3.2 mph gust spread, a 46° surface-to-flight direction change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
46°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 3.2 mph gust spread, a 46° surface-to-flight direction change, and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Active this hour because of a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
11:00 PM
Dark

Active this hour because of a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
12:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 3.8 mph gust spread and a 47° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
47°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 47° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
1:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 58° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
58°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 58° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
2:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 46° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,231 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
46°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 46° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.