Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.9 mph, a 12.4 mph gust spread, and a 10.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 6 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 18 mph – 18 mph
- Surface wind
- 6 mph · SSW
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (1,360 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 16 mph – 16 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 18 mph (+12)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 16 mph · SSW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 10°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 10.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.
Key takeaways
- This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.