Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

SMOOTH

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 5.2 mph, a 2.7 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 1.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 2° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 2 mph, gusts 5 mph, and climb band 1 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 3:00 PM.

Surface
2 mph
Gust
5 mph
Climb band
1 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 3:00 PM

Right now

SMOOTH

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • The 1.1 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn166°

Surface

2 mph

33 ft · W

Gust spread

3 mph

Gusts 5 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 80 J/kg / sun 113 W/m2

Climb drift

0 mph

394 ft / W

Montagne de Bluye SudSMOOTH Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
3:00 PM
SMOOTH

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 5.2 mph, a 2.7 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 1.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 2° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · W
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

A 2.7 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 1.1 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
4:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · WNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
5:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4 mph gust spread and a 31° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · WNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
31°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 31° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

6:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.8 mph gust spread and a 36° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · WNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
36°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 36° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
7:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 67° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
1 mph · W
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
67°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 67° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
8:00 PM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 53° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
0 mph – 0 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
0 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
53°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 53° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
9:00 PM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 42° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
42°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 42° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
10:00 PM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 4.5 mph, a 1.1 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 1.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 28° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
28°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 1.1 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 1.1 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
11:00 PM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 5.8 mph, a 2.5 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 21° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
21°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 2.5 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 0 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
12:00 AM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 6.3 mph, a 2.7 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 15° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 2.7 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 0.1 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
1:00 AM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 6.5 mph, a 2.9 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 15° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 2.9 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 0.1 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
2:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 3.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (949 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
13°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 3.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.