Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 173° low-level direction change combined with a 5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 4 mph, gusts 4 mph, and climb band 9 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 6:00 AM.

Surface
4 mph
Gust
4 mph
Climb band
9 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 6:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn174°

Surface

4 mph

33 ft · SSE

Gust spread

0 mph

Gusts 4 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 300 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

5 mph

394 ft / N

Magelssen Bluff Park / Private Bottom LZDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
6:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 173° low-level direction change combined with a 5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
173°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 173° low-level direction change combined with a 5 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 138° low-level direction change combined with a 9.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
138°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 138° low-level direction change combined with a 9.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 142° surface-to-flight direction change and a precipitation indicator. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
142°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 142° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 6.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · WNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 5 mph gust spread, a 4.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 33° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
33°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 33° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 12.3 mph, a 5 mph gust spread, a 7.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · WNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
22°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 12.3 mph, a 5 mph gust spread, a 7.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.5 mph and a 6.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
17 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.4 mph and a 8.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.6 mph and a 9.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
13 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.3 mph, a 10.2 mph gust spread, and a 8.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
21 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.7 mph and a 11.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
20 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.6 mph and a 13.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (342 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.