Launch forecast

Selected launch

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

Forecast point

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Current read

ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4.3 mph gust spread and a 48° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 3 mph, gusts 7 mph, and climb band 5 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 8:00 AM.

Surface
3 mph
Gust
7 mph
Climb band
5 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 8:00 AM

Right now

ACTIVE

Forecast confidence: Low

Treat now as a close call and compare it with the best takeoff block.

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Watch-outs

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn82°

Surface

3 mph

33 ft · SE

Gust spread

4 mph

Gusts 7 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 0 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

2 mph

394 ft / S

esmelleACTIVE Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
8:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 4.3 mph gust spread and a 48° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
48°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 48° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
9:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.5 mph gust spread and a 32° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
32°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 32° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
10:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4.3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · SE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
18°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 4.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

11:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 4.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 5.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
1 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
22°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4.8 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
13°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 4.8 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.4 mph and a 9.3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.3 mph and a 11 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.8 mph and a 12.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
16 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.5 mph and a 13.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · NNE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.5 mph and a 13.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · NNE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (18 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
17 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.