Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.3 mph, a 9.5 mph gust spread, and a 9.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 12 mph – 12 mph
- Gust model range
- 21 mph – 21 mph
- Surface wind
- 12 mph · ENE
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (679 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 22 mph – 22 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 21 mph (+10)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 22 mph · E
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 8°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 9.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.
Key takeaways
- This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.