Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

Forecast point

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 69° low-level direction change combined with a 9.6 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 2 mph, gusts 12 mph, and climb band 3 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 9:00 AM.

Surface
2 mph
Gust
12 mph
Climb band
3 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 9:00 AM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessVery gusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn109°

Surface

2 mph

33 ft · SW

Gust spread

10 mph

Gusts 12 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 10 J/kg / sun 4 W/m2

Climb drift

1 mph

394 ft / WNW

La vacaDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 69° low-level direction change combined with a 9.6 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
69°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 69° low-level direction change combined with a 9.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · WSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
49°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 7.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
22°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 122° low-level direction change combined with a 5 mph gust spread and a 5.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · W
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
122°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 122° low-level direction change combined with a 5 mph gust spread and a 5.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4.4 mph gust spread and a 4.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 4.4 mph gust spread and a 4.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 6.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · NNE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
12°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.9 mph gust spread and a 8.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
21°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.4 mph, a 15.7 mph gust spread, and a 12.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
22 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
19 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+16)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.7 mph, a 10 mph gust spread, and a 12.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (872 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
18 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
22°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

Planning

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.