Demanding this hour because of a 64° low-level direction change combined with a 10.1 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 2 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 5 mph – 14 mph
- Surface wind
- 4 mph · NNE
- Highest gust input
- 14 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (2,224 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 0 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 9 mph (+5)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 64°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 7 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 64° low-level direction change combined with a 10.1 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.