Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.9 mph and a 11.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 9 mph, gusts 16 mph, and climb band 16 mph for Wednesday, Sep 30, 7:00 PM.

Surface
9 mph
Gust
16 mph
Climb band
16 mph

Wednesday, Sep 30, 7:00 PM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowBreezy
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn34°

Surface

9 mph

33 ft · S

Gust spread

8 mph

Gusts 16 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 16 J/kg / sun 1 W/m2

Climb drift

7 mph

394 ft / S

Gary Marquette Park Beach corridorDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.9 mph and a 11.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · S
Highest gust input
20 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
13°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 7.4 mph gust spread and a 8.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · S
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.4 mph, a 8.8 mph gust spread, and a 10.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · S
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 23 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 10.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.9 mph, a 9.4 mph gust spread, and a 9.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · S
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · S
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.2 mph and a 11.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · S
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 20 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
13°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.3 mph, a 13.8 mph gust spread, and a 8.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
18 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.4 mph and a 14.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · SW
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.5 mph and a 12.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · SSW
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
16°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 12.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 65° low-level direction change combined with a 8.4 mph gust spread and a 4.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 12 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
12 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
65°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 65° low-level direction change combined with a 8.4 mph gust spread and a 4.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 70° low-level direction change combined with a 5.3 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · SE
Highest gust input
9 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
70°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 70° low-level direction change combined with a 5.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 8.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
13 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
40°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.3 mph, a 10.7 mph gust spread, and a 8.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · S
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (181 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
24°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.