Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 2.7 mph, a 1.7 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 27° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 1 mph, gusts 3 mph, and climb band 1 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 6:00 AM.

Surface
1 mph
Gust
3 mph
Climb band
1 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 6:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

Use the best takeoff block for daylight planning instead of launching now.

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Watch-outs

  • The 0.1 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Near nil-wind surface flow may require a more deliberate launch run and technique.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn59°

Surface

1 mph

33 ft · NNE

Gust spread

2 mph

Gusts 3 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 0 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

0 mph

394 ft / N

Wells Metropolis ghost town flatsDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
6:00 AM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 2.7 mph, a 1.7 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 27° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Surface wind
1 mph · NNE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
27°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 1.7 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 0.1 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Near nil-wind surface flow may require a more deliberate launch run and technique.
7:00 AM
SMOOTH

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 2.7 mph, a 1.1 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 14° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
14°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

A 1.1 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 0.2 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
8:00 AM
SMOOTH

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 2.9 mph, a 1.4 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 6° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

A 1.4 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 0.1 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

9:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 0 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Surface wind
0 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 146° low-level direction change combined with estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
0 mph – 0 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
0 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
146°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 146° low-level direction change combined with estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · WSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
18°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
12:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · W
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
1:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · W
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
2:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.4 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · WNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 3.4 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
3:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4.3 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · WNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 4.3 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 5.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · W
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 5.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · WSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,731 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.