Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.8 mph, a 7.6 mph gust spread, and a 14.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 19 mph – 19 mph
- Gust model range
- 27 mph – 27 mph
- Surface wind
- 19 mph · ENE
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (3,916 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 4 mph – 4 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 27 mph (+8)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 3°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 14.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change.
Key takeaways
- This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.