Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.9 mph and a 106° low-level direction change combined with a 13 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 2 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 16 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · SSE
- Highest gust input
- 16 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (3,855 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 5 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 6 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · W
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 106°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 106° low-level direction change combined with a 13 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.