Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.7 mph and a 16.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 3 mph, gusts 12 mph, and climb band 6 mph for Wednesday, Sep 30, 3:00 PM.

Surface
3 mph
Gust
12 mph
Climb band
6 mph

Wednesday, Sep 30, 3:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn13°

Surface

3 mph

33 ft · NNE

Gust spread

9 mph

Gusts 12 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 112 J/kg / sun 178 W/m2

Climb drift

3 mph

394 ft / NE

Aspen - Walshes LaunchDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.7 mph and a 16.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
20 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
14°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 16.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.5 mph and a 18.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · N
Highest gust input
21 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
39°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.2 mph and a 19.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NNW
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
0 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
42°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 19.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.9 mph and a 20.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (24 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 24 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · N
Highest gust input
24 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
31°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 20.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.6 mph and a 19.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
0 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
32°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 19.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.4 mph and a 17.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · N
Highest gust input
20 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
37°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 17.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.9 mph and a 15.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NE
Highest gust input
18 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
11°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.5 mph and a 13 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
22°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 11.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
15 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
18°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 8.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (12 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 12 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · N
Highest gust input
12 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
44°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 7.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (10 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · N
Highest gust input
10 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
23°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 6.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (10 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
10 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (3,403 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
12°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 6.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.