Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 5 mph, gusts 9 mph, and climb band 6 mph for Wednesday, Sep 30, 2:00 PM.

Surface
5 mph
Gust
9 mph
Climb band
6 mph

Wednesday, Sep 30, 2:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn41°

Surface

5 mph

33 ft · WSW

Gust spread

4 mph

Gusts 9 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 4 J/kg / sun 775 W/m2

Climb drift

1 mph

394 ft / SW

Goat Rock - Main LaunchDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · WSW
Highest gust input
13 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 8 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
28°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · W
Highest gust input
14 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
30°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · W
Highest gust input
14 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 8 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
33°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · W
Highest gust input
14 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 7 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
30°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · W
Highest gust input
13 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · WSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
23°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 8.3 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · W
Highest gust input
11 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.3 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 5.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (8 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · WNW
Highest gust input
8 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
14°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 3.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (6 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
0 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · WNW
Highest gust input
6 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 3.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 110° low-level direction change combined with a 3.5 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (6 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NW
Highest gust input
6 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
0 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
110°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 110° low-level direction change combined with a 3.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 2.5 mph, a 1.4 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 1.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 30° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (2 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
0 mph – 2 mph
Surface wind
1 mph · E
Highest gust input
2 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
2 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
30°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 1.4 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 1.5 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
12:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 43° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (3 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 3 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
3 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
2 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
43°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 43° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
1:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 50° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · SE
Highest gust input
5 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (37 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
0 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
50°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 50° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.