Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 149° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 3.5 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 2 mph, gusts 6 mph, and climb band 5 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 5:00 AM.

Surface
2 mph
Gust
6 mph
Climb band
5 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 5:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

Use the best takeoff block for daylight planning instead of launching now.

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Watch-outs

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn177°

Surface

2 mph

33 ft · NNW

Gust spread

4 mph

Gusts 6 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 1,480 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

2 mph

394 ft / ESE

El CorqueDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
5:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 149° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 3.5 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
149°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 149° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 3.5 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 138° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 3.7 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
138°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 138° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 3.7 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 121° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 4.2 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
121°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 121° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 4.2 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

8:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 95° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 4.9 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
95°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 95° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 4.9 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 88° low-level direction change combined with a 5.5 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
88°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 88° low-level direction change combined with a 5.5 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 118° low-level direction change combined with a 6.1 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
118°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 118° low-level direction change combined with a 6.1 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 156° low-level direction change combined with a 7.3 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
156°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 156° low-level direction change combined with a 7.3 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 127° low-level direction change combined with a 9.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
1 mph · W
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
127°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 127° low-level direction change combined with a 9.2 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 9.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
29°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.7 mph and a 9.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
16 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 9.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.4 mph and a 11.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (717 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

Planning

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.