Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

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Current read

Dark

Active this hour because of a 4.6 mph gust spread and a 47° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 3 mph, gusts 5 mph, and climb band 4 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 2:00 AM.

Surface
3 mph
Gust
5 mph
Climb band
4 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 2:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn41°

Surface

3 mph

33 ft · S

Gust spread

2 mph

Gusts 5 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 10 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

1 mph

394 ft / SW

Montellano - LowerDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
2:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 4.6 mph gust spread and a 47° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (7 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · S
Highest gust input
7 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 7 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · SW
Surface-to-flight direction change
47°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 47° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
3:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 3.7 mph gust spread, a 42° surface-to-flight direction change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (7 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SSE
Highest gust input
7 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · SSW
Surface-to-flight direction change
42°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 3.7 mph gust spread, a 42° surface-to-flight direction change, and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 3.4 mph gust spread and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (7 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SE
Highest gust input
7 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · SSE
Surface-to-flight direction change
27°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 3.4 mph gust spread and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

5:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 4 mph gust spread and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (7 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SE
Highest gust input
7 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
0 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 4 mph gust spread and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
6:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (6 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
6 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
17°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
7:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 33° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (6 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
6 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
33°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 33° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
8:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 3.5 mph gust spread, a 31° surface-to-flight direction change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (6 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · E
Highest gust input
6 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
31°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 3.5 mph gust spread, a 31° surface-to-flight direction change, and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (6 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · E
Highest gust input
6 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
20°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 3.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
10:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (6 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ENE
Highest gust input
6 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 3.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 7.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NE
Highest gust input
11 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
20°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 7.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
11 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
28°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 7.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · NNW
Highest gust input
11 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (389 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

Planning

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.