Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21 mph, a 16.6 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 9 mph
- Gust model range
- 4 mph – 21 mph
- Surface wind
- 4 mph · ESE
- Highest gust input
- 21 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (436 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 3 mph – 13 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 12 mph (+8)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 7 mph · ESE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 20°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.1 mph, a 14.9 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 9 mph
- Gust model range
- 4 mph – 18 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · ESE
- Highest gust input
- 18 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (436 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 12 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 10 mph (+7)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 6 mph · ESE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 19°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 12.5 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (15 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 8 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 15 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · ESE
- Highest gust input
- 15 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (436 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 11 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 7 mph (+4)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 5 mph · E
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 20°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 8.3 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 7 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 11 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · ENE
- Highest gust input
- 11 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (436 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 10 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 5 mph · E
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 15°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a thunderstorm indicator and a 98° low-level direction change combined with a 5.7 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (8 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 8 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · N
- Highest gust input
- 8 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (436 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 8 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · E
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 98°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 133° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 4.4 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (7 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 3 mph – 7 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · NNW
- Highest gust input
- 7 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (436 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 7 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · E
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 133°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 133° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 4.4 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 99° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 3.4 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (6 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 6 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · N
- Highest gust input
- 6 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (436 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · E
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 99°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 99° low-level direction change combined with a strong-convection indicator, a 3.4 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 5.4 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (8 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 8 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · NNE
- Highest gust input
- 8 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (436 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 7 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 31°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 5.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 1 mph – 7 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 9 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · N
- Highest gust input
- 9 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (436 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 7 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 5 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · NE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 43°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 5.7 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.