Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.3 mph and a 13.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 6 mph, gusts 12 mph, and climb band 11 mph for Friday, Oct 2, 7:00 AM.

Surface
6 mph
Gust
12 mph
Climb band
11 mph

Friday, Oct 2, 7:00 AM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowLight
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn7°

Surface

6 mph

33 ft · ESE

Gust spread

7 mph

Gusts 12 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 4 J/kg / sun 19 W/m2

Climb drift

5 mph

394 ft / ESE

Spring Valley meadows Kaibab National ForestDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
7:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.3 mph and a 13.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 19 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
11°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.9 mph and a 14.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
20 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.1 mph and a 16.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
22 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 16.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21 mph and a 15.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
21 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.7 mph and a 16 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
22 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 16 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.2 mph and a 18.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 25 mph and a 20.8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (25 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 25 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
25 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
12°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 20.8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.6 mph and a 22.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
27 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
20°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 22.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.5 mph and a 22.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
34°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 22.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.2 mph and a 22.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
35°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 22.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.2 mph and a 21.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
29°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 21.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.3 mph and a 21.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
27 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2,148 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
16°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 21.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.