Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.4 mph, a 16 mph gust spread, and a 9.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (24 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 5 mph – 12 mph
- Gust model range
- 18 mph – 24 mph
- Surface wind
- 8 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 24 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (619 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 9 mph – 25 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 23 mph (+15)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 18 mph · S
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 1°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 6 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 9.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change.
Key takeaways
- This speed change may produce a marked drift change between launch and low-level flight. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.