Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15 mph, a 5 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 10 mph, gusts 15 mph, and climb band 7 mph for Wednesday, Sep 30, 3:00 PM.

Surface
10 mph
Gust
15 mph
Climb band
7 mph

Wednesday, Sep 30, 3:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowLight
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn3°

Surface

10 mph

33 ft · N

Gust spread

5 mph

Gusts 15 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 0 J/kg / sun 752 W/m2

Climb drift

0 mph

394 ft / N

Blackhawk LaunchDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15 mph, a 5 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 15 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust speed (spread)
15 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 15 mph, a 5 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 13 mph, a 4.2 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
8°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 13 mph, a 4.2 mph gust spread, and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 10.3 mph, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 4.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 10.3 mph, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 4.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

6:00 PM
SMOOTH

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 7.8 mph, a 1.2 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 2.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 9° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

A 1.2 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 2.5 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
7:00 PM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 37° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · WNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
37°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 37° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
8:00 PM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 7.6 mph, a 0.1 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 3 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 14° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · WNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
14°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 0.1 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 3 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
9:00 PM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 4.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change and a 43° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
43°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 43° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
10:00 PM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 5.6 mph, a 0 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 3.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 20° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
20°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 0 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 3.2 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
11:00 PM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 4.5 mph, a 0.4 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 17° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
17°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 0.4 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 0.8 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
12:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 33° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · WNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
33°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 33° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
1:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 109° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
109°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 109° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
2:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 134° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SSW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,932 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
134°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 134° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.