Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.3 mph, a 13.6 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 2 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 16 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · W
- Highest gust input
- 16 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (548 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 9 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 9 mph (+6)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 5 mph · WNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 26°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.
Key takeaways
- This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.9 mph and a 150° low-level direction change combined with a 13 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 16 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · S
- Highest gust input
- 16 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (548 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 7 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 6 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · NNW
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 150°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 150° low-level direction change combined with a 13 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 108° low-level direction change combined with a 11.1 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 4 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 13 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · ESE
- Highest gust input
- 13 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (548 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 7 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+2)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 2 mph · N
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 108°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 108° low-level direction change combined with a 11.1 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Demanding this hour because of a 6.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (9 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 5 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 9 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · ENE
- Highest gust input
- 9 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (548 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 5 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+1)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · NE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 28°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 6.5 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Smooth this hour because of gusts at 5.3 mph, a 2.6 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 5° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 6 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 5 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · NE
- Highest gust input
- 5 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (548 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 5 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+1)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · NE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 5°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
A 2.6 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.
Key takeaways
- The 0.3 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
Smooth this hour because of gusts at 4 mph, a 1.3 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 7° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (4 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 8 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · ENE
- Highest gust input
- 4 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (548 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 1 mph – 6 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+0)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · NE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 7°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
A 1.3 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.
Key takeaways
- The 0.6 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
Smooth this hour because of gusts at 3.8 mph, a 1.3 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 1.2 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 17° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (4 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 9 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Surface wind
- 2 mph · ENE
- Highest gust input
- 4 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (548 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 7 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+0)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · NE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 17°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
A 1.3 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.
Key takeaways
- The 1.2 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
Smooth this hour because of gusts at 4 mph, a 1.5 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 1.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 10° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (4 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 9 mph
- Gust model range
- 1 mph – 4 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · ENE
- Highest gust input
- 4 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (548 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 8 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+0)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 10°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
A 1.5 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.
Key takeaways
- The 1.3 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
Smooth this hour because of gusts at 4.7 mph, a 1.7 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 1.1 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 10° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.
Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph).
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 9 mph
- Gust model range
- 2 mph – 5 mph
- Surface wind
- 3 mph · ENE
- Highest gust input
- 5 mph
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (548 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 2 mph – 8 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 3 mph (+0)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 4 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 10°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · 8 forecast inputs
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
A 1.7 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.
Key takeaways
- The 1.1 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.