Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

Dark

Active this hour because of a 4.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change and a 44° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 6 mph, gusts 6 mph, and climb band 2 mph for Wednesday, Sep 30, 11:00 PM.

Surface
6 mph
Gust
6 mph
Climb band
2 mph

Wednesday, Sep 30, 11:00 PM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

Use the best takeoff block for daylight planning instead of launching now.

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Watch-outs

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn28°

Surface

6 mph

33 ft · NE

Gust spread

0 mph

Gusts 6 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 0 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

0 mph

394 ft / E

PalomarDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
11:00 PM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 4.8 mph surface-to-flight speed change and a 44° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
44°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 44° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
12:00 AM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 4.9 mph, a 0 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 1.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 17° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
17°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 0 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 1.9 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
1:00 AM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 2.2 mph, a 0.2 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0.4 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 0° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
2 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 0.2 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 0.4 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

2:00 AM
Dark

Smooth this hour because of gusts at 2.9 mph, a 0 mph gust spread, estimated low thermal activity with strength unknown, a 0.9 mph surface-to-flight speed change, and a 24° surface-to-flight direction change. These measurements remain within the Smooth thresholds and point to steadier powered-flight air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
24°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

A 0 mph gust spread is the clearest favorable measurement in this hour.

Key takeaways

  • The 0.9 mph speed change points to steadier drift through the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Review launch direction, nearby obstacles, and the next forecast cycle for site context.
3:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 40° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
40°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 40° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
4:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 101° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
101°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 101° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
5:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 84° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
84°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 84° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
6:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 5 mph surface-to-flight speed change and a 37° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
37°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 37° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
7:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 6.6 mph surface-to-flight speed change and a 32° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
32°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 32° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
8:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 4 mph surface-to-flight speed change and a 58° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
58°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 58° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 155° low-level direction change combined with a 5.2 mph gust spread and a 4.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
155°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 155° low-level direction change combined with a 5.2 mph gust spread and a 4.7 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 91° low-level direction change combined with a 3.8 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · S
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (919 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
91°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 91° low-level direction change combined with a 3.8 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

Planning

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.