Launch forecast

Selected launch

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

Forecast point

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Current read

ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a 36° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 5 mph, gusts 6 mph, and climb band 6 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 9:00 AM.

Surface
5 mph
Gust
6 mph
Climb band
6 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 9:00 AM

Right now

ACTIVE

Forecast confidence: Low

Treat now as a close call and compare it with the best takeoff block.

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Watch-outs

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn85°

Surface

5 mph

33 ft · N

Gust spread

0 mph

Gusts 6 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 280 J/kg / sun 212 W/m2

Climb drift

1 mph

394 ft / NE

Sullivan's Island municipal beach corridorACTIVE Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
9:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a 36° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
36°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 36° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
10:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · NNE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
6 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
28°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
11:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

12:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
1:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
16°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • Thermals possible may add bumps, but the provider does not supply strength in fpm. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
2:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of gusts at 10.7 mph and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. These gusts may add bumps and make takeoff or landing timing less consistent.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
25°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by gusts at 10.7 mph and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts may add bumps and make takeoff or landing timing less consistent. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
24°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
28°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
28°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
22°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · ESE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
11 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
17°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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RangeNext 24 hours

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.