Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.7 mph and a 11.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 4 mph, gusts 10 mph, and climb band 4 mph for Wednesday, Sep 30, 6:00 PM.

Surface
4 mph
Gust
10 mph
Climb band
4 mph

Wednesday, Sep 30, 6:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn20°

Surface

4 mph

33 ft · W

Gust spread

6 mph

Gusts 10 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 0 J/kg / sun 152 W/m2

Climb drift

0 mph

394 ft / W

Playas de Tijuana municipal beaches north sectorDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.7 mph and a 11.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · W
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 11.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 8 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (11 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 11 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · W
Highest gust input
11 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · WNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
21°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 8 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 5.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (7 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
0 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · WNW
Highest gust input
7 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
30°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

9:00 PM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 3.4 mph gust spread and a 53° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · WNW
Highest gust input
5 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+2)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
53°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 53° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
10:00 PM
Dark

Missing surface-to-flight direction change; the forecast cannot establish these conditions.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (4 mph). Wind direction is uncertain: forecast inputs disagree.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · direction uncertain
Highest gust input
4 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
Unavailable
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

Data limits: surface-to-flight direction change.

What stands out

Core wind measurements are missing or direction is ambiguous.

Key takeaways

  • Unavailable: surface-to-flight direction change.
  • Review current observations and the next forecast update.
11:00 PM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 146° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (4 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
4 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
146°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 146° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
12:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 91° low-level direction change combined with a 3.1 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · E
Highest gust input
5 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
91°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 91° low-level direction change combined with a 3.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 68° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · E
Highest gust input
5 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
68°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 68° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
2:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 77° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
0 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · E
Highest gust input
5 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
77°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 77° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
3:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 92° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · E
Highest gust input
5 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
92°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 92° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
4:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 89° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (5 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
1 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · ENE
Highest gust input
5 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
89°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 89° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
5:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 77° low-level direction change combined with a 4.5 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (7 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · E
Highest gust input
7 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 6 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
77°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 5 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 77° low-level direction change combined with a 4.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.