Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 44.3 mph and a 23.7 mph gust spread. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 21 mph, gusts 36 mph, and climb band 27 mph for Friday, Oct 2, 3:00 AM.

Surface
21 mph
Gust
36 mph
Climb band
27 mph

Friday, Oct 2, 3:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowStrong
GustinessVery gusty
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn3°

Surface

21 mph

33 ft · NE

Gust spread

15 mph

Gusts 36 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 1 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

6 mph

394 ft / NNE

Guadalupe Ridge PG/PPG Site AreaDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
3:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 44.3 mph and a 23.7 mph gust spread. These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (44 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
12 mph – 33 mph
Gust model range
27 mph – 44 mph
Surface wind
21 mph · NE
Highest gust input
44 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 38 mph
Gust speed (spread)
36 mph (+15)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
27 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is gusts at 44.3 mph.

Key takeaways

  • These gusts can increase workload during takeoff, low-level flight, and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 41.4 mph and a 22 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (41 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
12 mph – 30 mph
Gust model range
25 mph – 41 mph
Surface wind
19 mph · NE
Highest gust input
41 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 37 mph
Gust speed (spread)
34 mph (+15)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
26 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 22 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 38.5 mph and a 20.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (38 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 27 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 38 mph
Surface wind
18 mph · NE
Highest gust input
38 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 35 mph
Gust speed (spread)
32 mph (+14)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
25 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 20.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

6:00 AM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 34.7 mph and a 17.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (35 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 22 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 35 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · NE
Highest gust input
35 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 31 mph
Gust speed (spread)
30 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
23 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 17.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 33.1 mph and a 16.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (33 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 22 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 33 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · NE
Highest gust input
33 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
12 mph – 30 mph
Gust speed (spread)
30 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
22 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 16.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.4 mph and a 15.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 22 mph
Gust model range
24 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · NE
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 29 mph
Gust speed (spread)
29 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.2 mph and a 15.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (32 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 23 mph
Gust model range
25 mph – 32 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · NE
Highest gust input
32 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 29 mph
Gust speed (spread)
29 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
21 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 33.8 mph and a 16.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (34 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
11 mph – 24 mph
Gust model range
26 mph – 34 mph
Surface wind
17 mph · NE
Highest gust input
34 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 29 mph
Gust speed (spread)
30 mph (+13)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
20 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 16.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 37.2 mph and a 19.7 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (37 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
10 mph – 29 mph
Gust model range
27 mph – 37 mph
Surface wind
18 mph · NE
Highest gust input
37 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 28 mph
Gust speed (spread)
29 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
19 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
2°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 19.7 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 32.9 mph and a 16.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (33 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 25 mph
Gust model range
25 mph – 33 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · NE
Highest gust input
33 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
14 mph – 25 mph
Gust speed (spread)
28 mph (+12)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
18 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 16.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.6 mph and a 13 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 21 mph
Gust model range
24 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · NE
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
26 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.6 mph and a 13.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 22 mph
Gust model range
23 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
16 mph · NE
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1,817 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
13 mph – 22 mph
Gust speed (spread)
26 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
17 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 13.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.