Launch forecast

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Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

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Current read

Dark

Active this hour because of a 168° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 3 mph, gusts 3 mph, and climb band 3 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 4:00 AM.

Surface
3 mph
Gust
3 mph
Climb band
3 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 4:00 AM

Right now

Dark

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessSteady
Thermal bumpLow
Drift turn148°

Surface

3 mph

33 ft · SSE

Gust spread

0 mph

Gusts 3 mph

Thermal bump

Low

CAPE 0 J/kg / sun 0 W/m2

Climb drift

0 mph

394 ft / NNW

Estero Beach corridorDark Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
4:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 168° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · NNW
Surface-to-flight direction change
168°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 168° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
5:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 149° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · SSE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
149°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 149° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
6:00 AM
Dark

Active this hour because of a 121° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · SE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
121°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Wind direction changes 121° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

7:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 126° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · SE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
126°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 126° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
8:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 104° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Surface wind
3 mph · SE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
3 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
104°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 104° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
9:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 57° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Surface wind
1 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
3 mph – 3 mph
Gust speed (spread)
2 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
3 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
57°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 57° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
10:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a 36° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust speed (spread)
4 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
2 mph · N
Surface-to-flight direction change
36°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 36° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
11:00 AM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a 5.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change. This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
1 mph · NW
Surface-to-flight direction change
1°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a 5.3 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • This speed change may alter drift between launch and the forecast flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
12:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a 49° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
49°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 49° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
1:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a 51° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
51°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 51° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
2:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a 42° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · NW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+0)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
42°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 42° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
3:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a 33° surface-to-flight direction change. The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · WNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (2 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · W
Surface-to-flight direction change
33°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Wind direction changes 33° between the surface and the forecast flight layer.

Key takeaways

  • The direction change may alter drift and wind alignment between launch and the flight layer. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.