Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.6 mph, a 12.7 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 10 mph, gusts 19 mph, and climb band 13 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 11:00 AM.

Surface
10 mph
Gust
19 mph
Climb band
13 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 11:00 AM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowBreezy
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpActive
Drift turn11°

Surface

10 mph

33 ft · E

Gust spread

9 mph

Gusts 19 mph

Thermal bump

Active

CAPE 1,034 J/kg / sun 494 W/m2

Climb drift

3 mph

394 ft / ESE

Alligator Point municipal beachesDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.6 mph, a 12.7 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
17 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · E
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
7°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.2 mph, a 13.4 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 13 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.1 mph, a 13.9 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
18 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.1 mph, a 13.6 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
8 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
22 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 21.5 mph, a 13.5 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SE
Highest gust input
21 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 19.9 mph, a 12.8 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (20 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 20 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · SE
Highest gust input
20 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.1 mph, a 12.2 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SE
Highest gust input
18 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17 mph, a 11.7 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · SE
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
0°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 8.5 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (13 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 7 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 13 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · SE
Highest gust input
13 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 6 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 9.2 mph gust spread and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (14 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 14 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
14 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 10 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17 mph, a 11.4 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
3 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
14°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.3 mph, a 10.4 mph gust spread, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (18 mph). At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 18 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · E
Highest gust input
18 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (0 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
16°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 6 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a strong-convection indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

Planning

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RangeNext 24 hours

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.