Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.3 mph and a 18.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 9 mph, gusts 18 mph, and climb band 15 mph for Friday, Oct 2, 10:00 AM.

Surface
9 mph
Gust
18 mph
Climb band
15 mph

Friday, Oct 2, 10:00 AM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowLight
GustinessVery gusty
Thermal bumpBuilding
Drift turn62°

Surface

9 mph

33 ft · NNE

Gust spread

9 mph

Gusts 18 mph

Thermal bump

Building

CAPE 3 J/kg / sun 556 W/m2

Climb drift

6 mph

394 ft / NE

El Socorro beach corridorDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
10:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.3 mph and a 18.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (27 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 27 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
27 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
18 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
30°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 AM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.6 mph and a 18.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
11 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · NNE
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
32°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 29.3 mph and a 18.4 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · N
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
21 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
38°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.4 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 29.3 mph and a 18.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 15 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · N
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 24 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
40°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 18.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 28.8 mph and a 17.5 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (29 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
19 mph – 29 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · N
Highest gust input
29 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 26 mph
Gust speed (spread)
22 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
44°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 17.5 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 27.7 mph and a 15.9 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (28 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
18 mph – 28 mph
Surface wind
12 mph · N
Highest gust input
28 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 26 mph
Gust speed (spread)
23 mph (+11)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
43°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.9 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 26.4 mph and a 15.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (26 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 17 mph
Gust model range
15 mph – 26 mph
Surface wind
11 mph · NNW
Highest gust input
26 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 29 mph
Gust speed (spread)
20 mph (+10)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
15 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
40°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 24.9 mph and a 15 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (25 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 16 mph
Gust model range
13 mph – 25 mph
Surface wind
10 mph · NNW
Highest gust input
25 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 29 mph
Gust speed (spread)
19 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
16 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
33°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.5 mph and a 15 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 14 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · N
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 26 mph
Gust speed (spread)
17 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
32°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 22.4 mph and a 15.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (22 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 22 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · NNW
Highest gust input
22 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 21 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
14 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
36°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 15.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.6 mph and a 14.1 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · NNW
Highest gust input
21 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 17 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
37°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.1 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 20.6 mph and a 14.6 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (21 mph).

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 11 mph
Gust model range
4 mph – 21 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · NNW
Highest gust input
21 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (72 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · NNE
Surface-to-flight direction change
30°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 14.6 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.