Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.8 mph gust spread and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 2 mph, gusts 6 mph, and climb band 4 mph for Thursday, Oct 1, 12:00 PM.

Surface
2 mph
Gust
6 mph
Climb band
4 mph

Thursday, Oct 1, 12:00 PM

Right now

ACTIVE

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowCalm
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpActive
Drift turn8°

Surface

2 mph

33 ft · ENE

Gust spread

4 mph

Gusts 6 mph

Thermal bump

Active

CAPE 330 J/kg / sun 507 W/m2

Climb drift

2 mph

394 ft / E

Jama westACTIVE Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
12:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.8 mph gust spread and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown. This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · ENE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 3.8 mph gust spread and estimated active thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may make the air feel less steady through takeoff and landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
1:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
5 mph (+1)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 3.9 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · E
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
4 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
17°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 3.9 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 152° low-level direction change combined with a 5.5 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
1 mph · SW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
152°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 152° low-level direction change combined with a 5.5 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 85° low-level direction change combined with a 5.8 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 4.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

At least one forecast input indicates strong convection.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
1 mph – 1 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Surface wind
1 mph · NNW
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
6 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
85°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 85° low-level direction change combined with a 5.8 mph gust spread, a strong-convection indicator, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, and a 4.5 mph surface-to-flight speed change.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of a 4.8 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, a 36° surface-to-flight direction change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 2 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
2 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
5 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
36°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: a 4.8 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, a 36° surface-to-flight direction change, and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a 3.7 mph gust spread and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust speed (spread)
7 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a 3.7 mph gust spread and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
7:00 PM
ACTIVE

Active this hour because of a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
8 mph (+3)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · NE
Surface-to-flight direction change
10°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast

What stands out

The ACTIVE stage is driven by a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Newer pilots may prefer instructor guidance or a calmer window.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 5.2 mph gust spread. This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 5 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · NE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
11°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 5.2 mph gust spread.

Key takeaways

  • This gust spread may produce pronounced changes in airspeed and landing timing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 72° low-level direction change combined with a 5.3 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 7 mph
Gust speed (spread)
9 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
72°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 72° low-level direction change combined with a 5.3 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of a 65° low-level direction change combined with a 6 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 4 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
4 mph · N
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 8 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
65°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a 65° low-level direction change combined with a 6 mph gust spread and estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown.

Key takeaways

  • The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 10.3 mph, a 4.4 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, a 38° surface-to-flight direction change, and a precipitation indicator. Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air.

Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 6 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 10 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · NNE
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (974 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 9 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+4)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · ENE
Surface-to-flight direction change
38°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · limited-input forecast
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

Three ACTIVE factors combine: gusts at 10.3 mph, a 4.4 mph gust spread, estimated building thermal activity with strength unknown, a 38° surface-to-flight direction change, and a precipitation indicator.

Key takeaways

  • Precipitation may change visibility, surface handling, and the character of the air. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.