Launch forecast

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Flying style

ParagliderLaunch flow, lift, aloft build
ParamotorSurface wind, gusts, thermal bump
Wind settingsMPH wind · Fahrenheit tempEdit

Wind units

MPHMiles per hour
KPHKilometers per hour
KnotsAviation wind read
m/sMeters per second

Temperature

Celsius°C
Fahrenheit°F

Planning window

Next 24 hoursNext 5 daysAccount

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Current read

DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.1 mph, a 13.8 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Paramotor modeTap to expand

Surface 9 mph, gusts 18 mph, and climb band 12 mph for Friday, Oct 2, 12:00 PM.

Surface
9 mph
Gust
18 mph
Climb band
12 mph

Friday, Oct 2, 12:00 PM

Right now

DEMANDING

Forecast confidence: Low

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Watch-outs

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Current detailsShow
Surface flowBreezy
GustinessGusty
Thermal bumpActive
Drift turn9°

Surface

9 mph

33 ft · ESE

Gust spread

9 mph

Gusts 18 mph

Thermal bump

Active

CAPE 1,991 J/kg / sun 382 W/m2

Climb drift

3 mph

394 ft / ESE

Siesta Key Beach municipalDEMANDING Right now

Hour by hour

Next 3 hours

+9 more
12:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 23.1 mph, a 13.8 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (23 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 12 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 23 mph
Surface wind
9 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
23 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 15 mph
Gust speed (spread)
18 mph (+9)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
5°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
1:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.8 mph, a 10.8 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
7 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
14 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SE
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
9 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
6°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Medium · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
2:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.8 mph, a 11.2 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
6 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
12 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
8 mph · SE
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
8 mph – 13 mph
Gust speed (spread)
16 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
10 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
4°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
Show more hours

Hour by hour

3:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 18.8 mph, a 12.5 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (19 mph). 2 forecast inputs indicate thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 19 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · SE
Highest gust input
19 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+8)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · SE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (active activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
4:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17 mph, a 11.2 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph). 2 forecast inputs indicate thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
8 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
13 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
5:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.1 mph, a 9.9 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph). 3 forecast inputs indicate thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
7 mph · ESE
Surface-to-flight direction change
3°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
6:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 15.7 mph, a 9.7 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph). 3 forecast inputs indicate thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · ESE
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 11 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+6)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
7:00 PM
DEMANDING

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.8 mph, a 12 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph). 3 forecast inputs indicate thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
2 mph – 8 mph
Gust model range
6 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · E
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 12 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
9 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
9°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
8:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.5 mph, a 12 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph). 2 forecast inputs indicate thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
3 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
7 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
5 mph · ENE
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
5 mph – 14 mph
Gust speed (spread)
10 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
8 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
9:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 17.2 mph, a 11.3 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
4 mph – 9 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
6 mph · ENE
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 16 mph
Gust speed (spread)
11 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
11 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
14°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
10:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.8 mph, a 10.3 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (17 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
10 mph – 17 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · ENE
Highest gust input
17 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
6 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
12 mph (+5)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
12 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
15°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.
11:00 PM
Dark

Demanding this hour because of gusts at 16.1 mph, a 9 mph gust spread, a thunderstorm indicator, and a strong-convection indicator. This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing.

Gust assessment includes the highest forecast input (16 mph). 1 forecast input indicates thunderstorms; this is not a probability.

Hour detailsShow
Surface wind model range
5 mph – 10 mph
Gust model range
9 mph – 16 mph
Surface wind
7 mph · ENE
Highest gust input
16 mph
Altitude reference
Provider terrain estimate (1 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
Flight-layer model range
7 mph – 18 mph
Gust speed (spread)
14 mph (+7)
Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
13 mph · E
Surface-to-flight direction change
18°
Thermal activity
Thermals possible - strength unknown (building activity estimated)
Forecast confidence
Low · 8 forecast inputs
Daylight
Dark at this location

What stands out

The strongest forecast concern is a thunderstorm indicator.

Key takeaways

  • This major weather signal may create rapid changes around takeoff, low-level flight, or landing. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
  • Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.

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Model notes

How this read is built

Expand+
SourcesUp to 12
MethodRobust consensus
ScoringTakeoff-focused

The forecast combines up to 12 current inputs using an outlier-resistant consensus; the exact source count can vary by hour. Dedicated gust-front and terrain-specific rotor feeds remain unavailable. Treat this as a takeoff, climb, drift, and thermal-texture read. The paramotor score weights rain, surface wind, gusts, and daytime bumpiness more than absolute wind direction. It does not know your field obstacles, runway length, or local rotor. Open-Meteo Best Match can overlap the named models, so input counts do not imply independent evidence. Missing data remains unavailable; model ranges, ambiguous directions, and hazards from a minority of inputs remain visible.