Demanding this hour because of a 129° low-level direction change combined with a 3.2 mph gust spread. The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload.
Low forecast confidence: review data limits and model ranges.
Hour detailsShowHide
- Surface wind model range
- 0 mph – 0 mph
- Gust model range
- 4 mph – 4 mph
- Surface wind
- 0 mph · NW
- Altitude reference
- Provider terrain estimate (1,221 m MSL); launch elevation unverified
- Flight-layer model range
- 3 mph – 3 mph
- Gust speed (spread)
- 4 mph (+3)
- Wind at 394 ft above reference terrain
- 3 mph · ENE
- Surface-to-flight direction change
- 129°
- Thermal activity
- Thermals possible - strength unknown (low activity estimated)
- Forecast confidence
- Low · limited-input forecast
- Daylight
- Dark at this location
What stands out
The strongest forecast concern is a 129° low-level direction change combined with a 3.2 mph gust spread.
Key takeaways
- The combined low-level change may produce changing drift and a more demanding control workload. Thermal strength is unknown because the activity is estimated.
- Consider a calmer window, especially for newer pilots.